Politics / Gregory Scruggs
Trudeau’s flair for foreign policy could win him another election – whoever is in the White House
In the wake of the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, the Nato summit might already be old news in Washington. In Ottawa however, its after effects continue to be felt. When Canada’s prime minister, Justin Trudeau, visited the White House last week, he left with an agreement to modernise the 60-year-old Columbia River Treaty, which governs a watershed the size of France. With the current deal’s provisions set to expire in September, pressure was mounting in British Columbia to strike a deal with the US. Making this deadline gave Trudeau, whose popularity at home is dwindling, a political boost.
The new agreement grants Canada more control over water flow at three dams that generate hydroelectric power and protect downstream communities in Oregon and Washington state. When reservoirs are drawn down at US demand, the lakes behind the dams become dust bowls, affecting the quality of life in British Columbia’s otherwise pristine interior. Insufficient water also inhibits the life cycle of salmon, a vital interest for indigenous First Nation groups that served on the Canadian negotiating team (Trudeau skipped the annual Assembly of First Nations to be in Washington). Under the new terms, the US will also supply Canada with less hydroelectric power.
After nearly a decade in power, Trudeau’s domestic policies have landed him in troubled waters. His government barely survived a vote of no confidence in March after a recent rise in carbon taxes. As he prepares for Canada’s 2025 federal elections, he can instead rely on his strong suit: foreign policy. Talks over the Columbia River Treaty began six years ago during the Trump administration and successfully concluded with Joe Biden in office. The ability of Trudeau’s negotiating team to stay the course makes a compelling case for the incumbent, showing that he can handle whoever occupies the White House next.
Gregory Scruggs is Monocle’s Seattle correspondent. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribeto Monocle today.