After Friday's row in the Oval Office, leaders from Europe and Canada gathered in London on Sunday to discuss “a coalition of the willing”. The proposal is simple: countries should raise their defence spending to protect any peace deal agreed between Ukraine and Russia. For the hosting Brits, it was about sending a message to the man in the White House that Europe is serious about defending itself.
The summit happened against a backdrop of grand pronouncements in the weekend newspapers about the death of “the West” and the postwar world order. Yet amidst this torrent of trans-Atlantic acrimony and jangled nerves, there was a line from Friday’s dust up that seemed particularly poignant. Referring to the threat posed by Moscow, President Zelensky was stark: “You have a nice ocean and don’t feel [it right now],” he said. “But you’ll feel it in the future.” This was a red rag to the blonde bull but there was truth in it, and that’s why it stung.
Breaking point: Tensions boil over in the Oval Office
Image: Getty Images
In 2022, I was dispatched to Hawaii for a story about the US military’s pivot to the Pacific; at the time, the invasion of Ukraine was only a couple of months old and had rattled the top brass who were otherwise focused on the threat from China. On a visit to the ruins of Pearl Harbour, one ex-military serviceman put it all in perspective: the site, he said, was a monument to what happens when a war in Europe is left to fester. “Eventually, it’ll come knocking at America’s door.”
Wise heads on both sides of the Atlantic know this to be the case. Despite the frenzy of the moment, there is still such a thing as a world order and there is no path to peace in Europe without the US being involved. But, on that front, Europe needs to show willing, and do less whining; share more of the burden and make a stronger case for a just resolution of the war in Ukraine. That requires letting go of assumptions about America’s sense of responsibility. Like it or not, President Trump feels he has the political mandate to bawl out those, like Zelensky, who come wanting. If there has been any shift in the world order, then this is it.
Just a reminder: America’s deadline for imposing market-shattering tariffs on Canada and Mexico is tomorrow. Will we be talking about last week’s Oval Office row by Thursday? Don’t count on it.
Christopher Lord is Monocle’s executive editor. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.