Consensus needed
The UN and the International Syria Support Group have fixed a date – 1 January – for the Syrian opposition to begin formal talks with president Bashar Al-Assad. The trouble is, which opposition will that be? There are now multiple factions opposing the Assad regime. US secretary of state John Kerry has been in Abu Dhabi this week to try to find ways in which the UAE’s top brass, as well as officials from Saudi Arabia, can convince these various factions in Syria to unify before January. The Gulf States and the West have often diverged over which opposition groups they support but for a post-Assad future the opposition needs consensus. Failing that, the spectre of Libya – fiercely divided once Gaddafi was gone, and dragged into a second civil war – will loom large at the negotiating table.