Opinion / Tomos Lewis
Gambling on youth
It’s election day in Canada and, if the opinion polls are correct, the country’s next government will be decided on a knife edge. According to the latest figures, Justin Trudeau, who is seeking a second term in government, is neck and neck with Andrew Scheer, leader of the Conservative party.
Two factors could prove decisive today. First, the turnout has already broken the record for early voting in a Canadian federal election: some 4.7 million citizens (out of an electorate of about 26 million) cast their ballots last week. That’s thanks, in part, to a boost in the number of polling stations across the country, particularly on university campuses.
And that brings us to factor two: younger Canadians. They were pivotal in Trudeau’s landslide victory four years ago, when 57 per cent of eligible voters aged between 18 and 24 went to the polls, up from 39 per cent in 2011. But any politician relying on the youth vote does so at their own risk: this age group is frequently the subject of finger-wagging for not showing up on election day. Either way, they will be a crucial element in the result of today’s poll. For better or worse, Canada’s 2019 election campaign has been remarkable – and the surprises might not be over yet.