Opinion / Chiara Rimella
Falling stars
Municipal elections are traditionally seen as a litmus test for a country’s political mood. But as the curtain closed this week on the second, and final, round of local votes in Italy, how many answers can be gleaned ahead of the 2023 general election?
Most people have decided to frame the results as a triumph for the centre-left over a vociferous coalition on the right. But that conclusion might be a bit rushed: the voting process saw a record level of abstention, which makes matters very hard to assess. Then there’s the perhaps stereotypical – but nonetheless relevant – consideration of the volatility of politics in the Bel Paese. If we think back to far-right Lega leader Matteo Salvini’s seemingly unstoppable rise in 2019, compared with his presently stunted career, we can safely assume that much can, and probably will, change in the two years to come.
There is, however, a message that stands out amid the complex factors behind the result: the all-but-inevitable demise of the Five-Star Movement. Ever since prime minister Giuseppe Conte was ousted to make way for arch-technocrat Mario Draghi, the populist movement has been floundering in the polls. Its anti-establishment message lost appeal during the pandemic as people sought refuge in the reassuring competence of the experts they had previously reviled.
After this week’s results, the Five-Star Movement will be leading in only six towns with populations over 15,000 across the whole country. In Bologna and Milan it only mustered a paltry 3 per cent of the vote (stark when compared with the 67 per cent landslide that the party’s Virginia Raggi (pictured) won in Rome back in 2016). Poor management of city halls in the capital and in Turin has definitely had an effect on the movement’s nationwide reputation. It’s there that the most definitive line between local and national politics can be drawn.