Opinion / Alexis Self
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One nailed-on certainty about the UK chancellor of the exchequer’s annual budget is the photo-call: Rishi Sunak will stand in front of 11 Downing Street, the chancellor’s official residence, today, holding aloft a shiny red briefcase in the manner of a young boy on his first day of school. But while its contents are usually a closely guarded secret, this year’s have been leaked to the press for weeks.
We know that the government will raise the UK’s minimum wage and remove a pay freeze for public-sector workers. We also know that it will cut Universal Credit (a social-security payment) and raise the National Insurance tax (which contributes to the UK’s state benefits and health service). At first glance, these four headline pronouncements seem to signify the delicate balancing act involved in responsible fiscal policy – give two and take away two – and fit with the government’s much-vaunted “levelling up” agenda to spread economic prosperity beyond London and the southeast of England to communities that feel left behind. But when you look a bit closer at who these cuts and rises will affect (namely, those earning the least), you might decide that this budget isn’t about levelling up so much as holding down.
The level of taxation in the UK has been among the lowest in Europe for decades and Sunak believes that continuing this is the most effective way to encourage growth. But as inequality widens and the cost of living increases, those earning the median wage or below now also carry the highest tax burden since the equivalent group in 1945. On Monday, a group of 30 British millionaires wrote an open letter to the chancellor expressing their desire for a tax on the richest 1 per cent – a cohort that includes Sunak himself. His refusal to countenance such proposals or introduce progressive economic measures designed to redress inequality proves that, like the budget photo-call, this government’s levelling up agenda is merely a pose.