Opinion / Andrew Mueller
Big guns
For most industries the coronavirus pandemic has been somewhere between a challenge and a disaster – with, it emerges, one somewhat depressing exception. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (Sipri), figures for 2020 show that the world’s 100 largest suppliers of weapons and associated military services found a way to increase their business by 1.3 per cent, year on year, even as global GDP took a 3.1 per cent hit and despite extraordinary disruptions to global supply chains.
Before one despairs too theatrically at what this might indicate vis-à-vis the human condition, it’s worth noting that a portion of this bump in defence-related spending was necessitated by coronavirus, as governments leant on their militaries for assistance dealing with the pandemic or ramped up purchases as part of economic stimulus packages. It nevertheless represents a sixth consecutive year in which sales by the world’s top 100 arms merchants have increased – to somewhere in the vicinity of $531bn (€470bn).
Such stupendous figures might soon appear on a fatuous meme or inane poster near you, alongside a chest-prodding rhetorical question about where the money might be less destructively spent. But if one sets aside the hectoring sanctimony of those who believe that all defence spending is bad (it isn’t), it is perhaps worth considering whether at least some of the colossal ingenuity attracting this vast expenditure might be redirected.
Sipri’s report notes an accelerating mutual interest between militaries and technology giants, for example; it is not unimaginable that the institute’s top 100 arms producers might one day include Microsoft, Google or Amazon. The period covered by the report has also seen a substantial rewiring of economies by major states. The foundations surely now exist, in the US and elsewhere, for a new Manhattan Project or Apollo programme, this time aimed at addressing the climate and energy issues that are likely to be the cause of future conflicts.