Opinion / Alexis Self
All change
They say that a week is a long time in politics. In the UK at the moment, four days are epochal. Last Thursday, Liz Truss was the country’s fledgling leader; yesterday, after a truncated race, Rishi Sunak (pictured) was named the next prime minister. It is difficult to predict how successful Sunak will be but he is undoubtedly an improvement on his predecessor (Truss made a lettuce seem charismatic).
Sunak’s time as chancellor is seen as having been largely successful and his experience should calm the markets. He is immensely wealthy – the richest member of parliament, even if most of it belongs to his wife. Many see this as an electoral liability but others believe that his personal success enhances his economic credibility. Either way, there will be no honeymoon period. The UK is roiling from multiple crises, with its crumbling economy and the effect that this is having on vulnerable people the most pressing.
Though the pandemic and war in Ukraine have played large parts in the country’s high inflation and low growth, Brexit is the festering wound that shows no signs of healing. While comparable economies can at least see a way out of the current predicament, the UK has intentionally put up barriers to trade with its closest partners and failed to win any significant post-Brexit advantages. Renegotiating with the EU must be a priority for Sunak.
In a way, he might be well placed to do this. He lacks the mendacity that hamstrung Boris Johnson’s relations with Brussels and, as a steadfast Brexiteer, can’t be labelled as a crypto-Remainer. But it would be optimistic to imagine that the Conservatives will be able to put aside the rancour that has threatened to tear the party apart over the past few weeks. Slick Sunak might have bought them two more years in office but it’s difficult to see a Conservative victory in the next election.
Alexis Self is Monocle’s foreign editor. For more on this story, tune in to Monocle 24’s ‘The Globalist’.