The Bulletin with UBS

Why inflation will fall

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Cover art for The Bulletin with UBS

9 May 2022

Episode 396

15 minutes

UBS Global Wealth Management’s chief economist Paul Donovan explains why inflation is almost certain to fall in developed economies in the second half of 2022. He explains the effect of a normalisation in demand for products that resulted in a surge in demand in 2021 and why comparing recent prices with those from the same time last year, when we were in lockdown, can be misleading. He also discusses why containing wage costs makes a fall more likely.

9 May 2022

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