Opinion / Ope Adetayo
Ties that bind
Following last month’s coup in Niger, the Economic Community of West African States, known as Ecowas, threatened to use force to restore Mohammed Bazoum (pictured), the democratically elected president. While the outlook for the region doesn’t look great (Niger is the fourth West African country to experience a successful coup since 2020), any sort of military intervention would only serve to inflame an already combustible security situation.
The Ecowas defence chiefs are currently meeting in the Nigerian capital of Abuja to brainstorm a military response. But this is going to be an exercise in expensive folly. While Ecowas has a history of successful interventions (Sierra Leone in 1997, when it restored Ahmed Tejan Kabbah; 2017, when it ensured the mandate of The Gambia’s Adama Barrow), none of them have created lasting peace.
Nigeria’s president, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, currently holds the rotating chairmanship of Ecowas. But, more importantly, he is the leader of Niger’s neighbour. With shared security issues and a history of collaboration, it is paramount for Tinubu to resolve the situation over the border. And that means managing to do it amicably, without resorting to military force. Nigeria has too many internal problems to get involved in a long-term conflict or even a peacekeeping mission.
With Mali, Guinea, Burkina Faso and Niger now under juntas, there has clearly been political failure across the region. Remaining democratic governments such as Senegal have also demonstrated autocratic tendencies and have often continued to subvert the people’s will. Leaders need to stop their power grabs and focus on the root causes of broken societies, from corruption to extremism via economic stagnation. These coups are not happening in a vacuum. The sooner West African leaders understand this, the better the region’s long-term democratic health will look.
Ope Adetayo is a Monocle contributor based in Lagos. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.