Syria’s slippery slope
The Syrian peace talks scheduled to take place in Kazakhstan’s capital of Astana are skidding off-course. Reports of violations by the Assad regime – including continued fighting in Wadi Barada over a major water source – have prompted rebels to freeze the process. It's how ceasefires in Syria have collapsed before but unlike previous truces there’s one crucial difference: the US is not at the mediating table. Russia will look for any opportunity to sideline them and show that American influence in the Middle East is on the wane. If talks do make it to Astana intact, it will send a powerful message to the region. As the biggest backer of the Assad regime, Russia can tell Syria’s government to hold fire.