Forecast: unclear
One of the many criticisms thrown at the Leave campaign during the UK’s referendum on membership of the European Union was the absence of a plan. There was a slogan – “Take back control” – some contentious claims about savings and a lot of rhetoric about immigration that, at its best, leaned towards the xenophobic. In the seven months since the UK voted to leave, the plan for what happens next has remained similarly elusive. The UK’s prime minister, Theresa May (who would rather you forgot that she campaigned to remain in the EU), yesterday tried to rectify that with a speech that confirmed that the UK will leave the single market and end freedom of movement. It didn’t promise much else though – and when negotiations get underway in March, the UK will begin to learn what the 27 remaining members of the EU will want in return.