Election
May’s day?
On the face of it, Theresa May’s decision to hold a UK general election in seven weeks makes a lot of political sense. She is expected to win by a landslide, giving her a personal mandate based on a manifesto she believes in. But those expectations could cause problems. General elections can be buffeted by surprising events and May has not proved herself to be a nimble political campaigner. If the subject shifts from Brexit she could find the terrain more tricky: the UK is facing a health and social-care crisis, the economy is still not working for enough people and the policies she has promoted, such as the return of grammar schools, have not proved popular. Turnout will also be an issue. This will be the third summer in a row that Britons have been asked to vote on a matter of great importance (the fourth for Scots who had an independence referendum in 2014). If the general sense is that the election is a foregone conclusion, turnout could drop below 60 per cent. May’s victory might not be as impressive as she hopes.