Opinion / Christopher Cermak
Let them fail
There have been two seismic shocks in European politics in the last few days. One is the emergence of the nationalist Sinn Féin as Ireland’s strongest party and the other is the resignation in Germany of Angela Merkel’s presumed successor, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (pictured). These events have one key question in common: should the political extremes be allowed a hand in governing?
Start with Ireland, where Sinn Féin’s surprising (but narrow) victory in parliamentary elections has plunged the country into uncertainty. The two establishment parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, have refused to enter into any coalition with them, even though neither of those parties would seem able to govern on their own (though they could join forces themselves). Should the centrists rethink their stance?
Next consider Germany and the scandal in the eastern state of Thuringia, where a hung parliament led Merkel’s Christian Democrats and the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) to back the same candidate (from a third party, the Free Democrats) to lead the state. Though not a formal coalition, it marked the first time that centrists had even tacitly co-operated with the AfD at any level of government. The move has sent shockwaves through the German political establishment, forcing the national party to intervene and, yesterday, Kramp-Karrenbauer to resign.
One question will continue to split Germany’s conservatives: is there ever a time to partner with the far-right? An alternative tactic that has worked surprisingly well comes from my home country of Austria where, twice, Austria’s conservatives controversially agreed to partner with the far-right Freedom party, and twice the Freedom party collapsed in scandal before the next election. Perhaps there’s a lesson here for other countries to consider: exclude nationalist parties at your own risk. Sometimes it’s better to let them try (and fail) at governing with a chaperon before they gain enough popularity to take the reins all by themselves.