Opinion / Ed Stocker
Hug or pray
It would be tempting to divide the reactions of Latin American heads of state to the coronavirus pandemic into binary categories: populist or non-populist. The reality is far more nuanced but the virus is exposing governments’ starkly different approaches to dealing with it; ones that could have repercussions at the polls.
Brazil’s right-wing president Jair Bolsonaro has played the contrarian-in-chief, taking an openly cynical view on social distancing (one poll says that 28 per cent of Brazilians are currently ignoring regulations). He also is wooing evangelicals by issuing calls for prayer to help rid the country of the disease. And yet, despite a spike in cases this week, a recent poll from Datafolha shows that 59 per cent of Brazilians do not want the former military man to step down.
Further north, Mexico’s outspoken president Andrés Manuel López Obrador (better known as Amlo) once had sky-high approval ratings; no longer. His coronavirus reaction has been shaky at best: as well as telling Mexicans that they should continue to hug each other, he shook hands with the mother of renowned drug kingpin Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán during a visit to her hometown – before finally relenting and supporting social distancing. Much of the burden has fallen to the health department’s deputy secretary, who is now seen by many Mexicans as more trustworthy than Amlo.
One populist government (or one with populist elements, thanks to its vice president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner) that seems to have got it right is Argentina. It was relatively quick to react and recently extended its rigorous lockdown until mid-April. President Alberto Fernández (pictured) has managed to unite the country’s traditionally warring factions and has a real opportunity to build on his successes. Can they remain united? It will make for interesting viewing.