Opinion / Genevieve Bates
Left hanging
Canada goes to the polls today in a nail-biter – not what prime minister Justin Trudeau and his Liberal Party expected when he called the snap election barely a month ago. As a Canadian living in London, I’m seeing some worrying parallels with UK politics. Erin O’Toole (pictured, on left, with Trudeau), the Canadian Conservative Party’s leader, has risen up the opinion polls by appealing to ageing, blue-collar voters, who traditionally supported the left but might swing to the Tories, who are milking public disenchantment with so-called “elite” liberals. O’Toole has even hired strategic advisors who worked on Boris Johnson’s 2019 election campaign and is trying to rebrand as “not your dad’s Conservative Party” – not unlike David Cameron trying to break the perception of the UK Conservatives as “the nasty party”.
Will it work in Canada? Trudeau hasn’t done himself any favours. Undermining his re-election chances are a whiff of corruption that clings from various scandals and the overall sense that his liberal views are a lightly worn mark of privilege, rather than gained through life experience; the sense that he is not a man of the people. Still, what’s likely to happen is that Trudeau will hold on to power in another minority government delivered largely by voters in central and eastern Canada. This will only further entrench divisions across the country: between provinces, ideologies and demographic groups.
All elections stoke divisions to some extent but the mood is particularly tense this time. This is also due to the wild card, the People’s Party of Canada, which has surged this year as a crucible for anti-vax and “no lockdown” views and is voicing populist sentiments seldom heard so loudly in polite mainstream debate. As a Canadian abroad with an idealised view of my egalitarian home nation, I can probably expect the status quo to remain. But my rose-tinted impression of the country as a beacon of calm, progressive politics has been tarnished by this campaign.
For more on the Canadian election, listen to Monocle 24’s series of candidate profiles last week and tune in for updates today and tomorrow on ‘The Globalist’.’