Opinion / James Chambers
False friends
Tim Clissold’s 2004 book Mr China is a fascinating first-person account of a group of intrepid Western investors who ventured into the country in the 1990s, signed big-money deals with Chinese businessmen and were royally swindled. Then, as now, some contracts in China aren’t worth the paper they are written on and only reflect the circumstances on the day they were signed. Vladimir Putin would have been wise to read this page-turner before he touched down in Beijing last month for the Winter Olympics and shook hands with Xi Jinping on a now-infamous “no limits” friendship.
On that fateful winter’s day in Beijing, when the two strongmen stood shoulder to shoulder vowing to reshape the international order, Xi put everything on the table. But China’s leader made no firm commitments; unlike, say, Nato’s Article 5, which requires each member to come to the defence of the others. So when Russia invaded Ukraine later that month, China duly changed its end of the bargain and opted to abstain from a UN vote denouncing the war rather than stand firmly behind Russia. Since then, Xi has kept his new best friend at arm’s length (he has spoken to Putin once since the invasion began, just as he has with Joe Biden) and Beijing has offered Moscow little more than lip service. The high point could well be its support for the Kremlin’s madcap claims about US-funded labs in Ukraine developing biological weapons; Chinese state media enjoyed airing those allegations and threw in links to bat-coronaviruses for good measure.
Xi might never denounce Putin publicly but neither will he do anything that would harm China’s best interests – an implicit limitation in any international treaty entered into by Beijing. As the conflict progresses, Putin is looking less the savvy world leader and more of a fall guy for Beijing’s goals. The latest in a long line of Mr Chinas, fleeced by a deal that always seemed too good to be true.