Opinion / Fiona Wilson
Balancing act
Yesterday was a red-carpet day in Tokyo on Joe Biden’s first visit to Japan as President. An audience with Emperor Naruhito at the Imperial Palace was followed by a meeting with prime minister Fumio Kishida (pictured, on right, with Biden) at the nearby Akasaka Palace. Many takeaways from the joint press conference were familiar: the US-Japanese alliance is the cornerstone of peace and prosperity in the Indo-Pacific; Washington supports Japan’s bid to become a permanent member of a reformed Security Council; and so on.
What grabbed headlines was Biden’s affirmative answer to the question of whether the US would defend Taiwan militarily should China try to take it by force. American policy on Taiwan has been to keep the status quo and stay ambiguous on the matter of how far the US would go if Taiwan were invaded. Yesterday, Biden seemed to suggest that it would move beyond its commitment to supply Taiwan and use force if necessary. His aides were quick to contain the potential fallout: “Our policy hasn’t changed”, said one. But since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the dial has shifted.
This message will be further underlined by the meeting in Tokyo today of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue – aka the Quad – when Biden and Kishida will be joined by Narendra Modi and Australia’s newly elected prime minister, Anthony Albanese. As Kishida has been saying repeatedly, the global reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine should be a warning to China. Or as Biden put it, “The idea that Taiwan can be taken by force is just not appropriate. It will dislocate the entire region.”