Opinion / Andrew Mueller
Something in the air
On 4 February the US Air Force (USAF) shot down a Chinese spy balloon after it had spent some days adrift across the American continent. It seemed like a rogue occurrence, with something for everyone: excitable conservative media enjoyed a full-blown Chicken Little freakout; online japesters relished imagining a balloon-shaped victory mark painted on the side of an F-22. Since then, three more objects have been downed over Alaska, Canada’s Yukon territory and Lake Huron in Michigan.
If anybody is certain what any of them were, they are being cagey about saying so. It seems likely that General Glen VanHerck, commander of North American Aerospace Defense Command, will be remanded for further media training after his response to a question about the possibility of extraterrestrial marauding (“I haven’t ruled anything out”) made managing the story even more difficult. General VanHerck did, however, note that the three most recent objects downed by USAF pilots were not balloons, which prompts the question: what were they? It is not the first time that this has been asked. In January, the US Department of Defense’s All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office, which investigates UAPs, or unexplained aerial phenomena, acknowledged 510 such queries – 366 of them received since August 2022.
“If you’re carrying out surveillance, I’d be surprised if anyone did it so overtly,” says Matthew Powell, teaching fellow in Strategic and Air Power Studies at RAF College Cranwell and the University of Portsmouth. “So perhaps these are attempts to test American reactions without risking too much or a means of putting pressure on Washington and testing boundaries.” And perhaps the USAF’s purported befuddlement is also a bluff, designed to keep the visitors coming. The target practice might come in handy.
Andrew Mueller is a contributing editor at Monocle. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.