Opinion / Leila Molana-Allen
Back in the fold
The Arab League agreed to reinstate Syria as a member state this week, almost 12 years after the country was suspended in response to Bashar al-Assad’s violent crackdown on protesters in 2011. The move is the latest in a series of steps towards the normalisation of relations between Arab states, which has included the restoration of diplomatic ties and trade in recent months between Syria and Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt, among others.
Assad’s government is widely held to be responsible for the deaths of at least half a million Syrians and the displacement of more than 14 million people over more than a decade of war. The country now maintains a fragile peace. Though the Syrian government can access much of what it needs from its key allies, US and EU sanctions weigh heavily on the population, making international business impossible and preventing the import of building materials necessary to rebuild the country.
Representatives of the US government reacted to Syria’s readmission to the league with concern, describing it as a “grave strategic mistake that will embolden Assad, Russia and Iran to continue butchering civilians and destabilising the Middle East”. They might well be right but the reality is that a precedent for failing to hold Assad to account for his crimes was set in 2013, when Barack Obama backtracked from threats about a “red line” over chemical weapons at the last minute.
The Arab League’s decision confirms the direction of travel: Syria has been accepted back into the regional fold. Now, by opposing this reality, Western powers only deny themselves the opportunity to influence future developments in the country. For the US and EU to obstinately maintain the old course is to hand over power to their adversaries Russia and Iran, while condemning millions of people living in Syria to poverty and hopelessness.
Leila Molana-Allen is Monocle’s Middle East correspondent. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle magazine today.