Opinion / Ed Stocker
Box-office ballot
It’s shaping up to be a busy year in Spanish politics. The country goes to the polls twice, including a general election before the end of the year to elect a new prime minister. Before that, though, there are municipal and regional elections at the end of next week, known to Spaniards as “28M”. Something of a snoozefest, right? Nothing of the sort.
Part of the reason is the number of eye-watering scandals. One flare-up has been in the autonomous Basque region and the decision of the pro-independence party, EH Bildu, to field candidates who had been convicted of so-called “blood crimes” from their days as members of terrorist organisation ETA. The seven candidates in question have since withdrawn their names. Or what about Parla, in greater Madrid, where a member of the far-right Vox party, Ana González Martínez, was arrested last week and accused of drug trafficking and money laundering?
For all the drama, the local elections will be a bellwether for the general election. The right-wing People’s Party (PP) can smell a return to power and the dislodging of the left-wing coalition led by Socialist prime minister Pedro Sánchez (pictured). The PP will be hoping to rout the left in next week’s vote, win key battlegrounds such as Valencia and then take that momentum into the general election.
Sánchez has seen his popularity slide due to the cost-of-living crisis. His party is well behind in Madrid, where Isabel Díaz Ayuso, Madrid’s regional president, could end up winning an absolute majority. All that despite being accused of mismanagement during the pandemic and looking set to deliver only 1,000 new homes by the end of the year having promised 15,000 by the end of her mandate. The left might be scratching its head about why support is dwindling but if it wants to cling on to power, it needs to find a way to turn things around – and fast.
Ed Stocker is Monocle’s Europe editor at large. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.