Opinion / Tim Mak
Fear the fallout
Yesterday, Ukrainians woke to the news that the Kakhovka dam, which is downstream from the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, had been breached. Both Ukrainian and Russian officials immediately confirmed that the plant’s water supply, an important component for its safety, was not in jeopardy but the latest development highlighted the delicacy of the situation and how the ongoing war compounds the risk of a nuclear catastrophe.
After Russian troops took control of the Zaporizhzhia plant more than a year ago, the surrounding area has experienced an increase in military presence and fighting. Explosions in the plant’s grounds – and the nearby city of Enerhodar – have been common and multiple incidents have caused the nuclear facility to lose the external power necessary for its safe functioning.
The prospect of the plant’s failure and the release of radiation into the atmosphere sounds like a nightmarish scenario. But it is one that Ukrainian nuclear engineer Oleksandr Selyverstov has lived with since the first days of Russia’s invasion. Previously in charge of operating a nuclear reactor at the plant, Selyverstov reportedly escaped to Ukrainian-held territory in December. In a recent interview, he told me that all preconditions for a disaster were in place: exhausted and oppressed staff watched over by armed guards, constant fighting in the vicinity and a loosening of safety standards.
As the Ukrainian military prepares to launch a counteroffensive, people such as Selyverstov believe that recapturing the plant should be a strategic priority – not only because of its potential to generate immense amounts of power but also to avert the possibility of Russia using it as leverage. This is a challenge that requires caution. Fighting near the plant is dangerous. The only safe way to retake it is to besiege the surrounding territory. Given all the combat that is likely to take place in the months ahead, as well as the many strategic aims of the Ukrainian military, it is a colossal task.
Tim Mak is a war correspondent based in Kyiv and founder ofThe Counteroffensive. For more opinion, analysis and insight,subscribeto Monocle today.