Opinion / Leila Molana-Allen
Reality cheque
The governor of Lebanon’s central bank, Riad Salameh, has stepped down after 30 years in the post. After the civil war, Salameh (pictured) made the country’s banks the go-to for investors across the Arab world through their attractive interest rates. But as the economy began to crumble in 2019 as a result of its national debt and the economic pressures of neighbouring Syria’s civil war, the house of cards collapsed. As the value of the Lebanese lira plummeted, banks imposed arbitrary capital controls and savers watched as their hard-earned cash turned to pennies on the dollar.
Salameh, meanwhile, insisted that it was a blip. In the four years since, the lira has lost 90 per cent of its value and almost 80 per cent of Lebanese now live in poverty. Despite this, the elites stood by Salameh. But he has now been accused of worse crimes and faces charges in five countries with two international arrest warrants over embezzling state funds. Still, Lebanon’s leaders have shown no signs that they plan to hand him over to justice – the search for his successor will be far from smooth. And while deputy governor and Salameh’s temporary replacement, Wassim Mansouri, has warned that he will no longer write the government a blank cheque without a proper budget, critics still see him as a compromise appointment.
Given that the country’s leaders have been unable to agree on a cabinet or a president for a year since its last election, the chances of voting in a new governor who will impose true reforms are slim. The International Monetary Fund sits in wait, ready to help with billions of dollars when Lebanon introduces the reforms that it has long demanded. Beirut’s only chance of true financial recovery is an economic leader willing to upset the establishment and make difficult decisions; many here have lost hope that such a figure exists.
Leila Molana-Allen is Monocle’s Middle East correspondent. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.