Opinion / Christopher Cermak
Money talks
Tickets to the annual Iowa State Fair, which ended yesterday, went up by $2 (€1.84) this year. Iowa’s Republican senator, Joni Ernst, spoke sorrowfully on behalf of families who couldn’t attend as a result of living from “paycheck to paycheck”. If you listen to Ernst or the numerous Republican presidential candidates appearing at the fair, which has long been an obligatory campaign stop for budding White House hopefuls, then there’s one thing to blame for such ruinous inflation: Bidenomics.
Joe Biden, for his part, has been happily leaning into this moniker as of late. “Guess what? It’s working,” he said, marking the first anniversary of the Inflation Reduction Act last week, his signature piece of legislation. He regularly contrasts his approach, which aims to strengthen the middle class, with that of “top-down” Republicans who reward the wealthy. It’s astounding how little our stale economic-policy debate (top-down versus bottom-up, high-tax versus low-tax) has changed over the past few decades. And how little it matters.
In reality, politicians have had even less control over this inflation cycle than most: prices are coming down as the shock of the war in Ukraine subsides and the pandemic disappears further from view. But it’s not yet where we would like it to be: US consumer prices rose 3.2 per cent year-on-year in July, lower than analysts had expected but nevertheless up slightly again from June. Inflation over the past few years has been a huge problem and not only in the US. It’s less a story of government policy than it is about central banks, interest rates, foreign wars and consumer habits.
Of course, this reality has never stopped politicians from taking credit when times are good or getting punished by voters when times are bad. But, really, we should know better. There’s plenty to blame politicians for these days but let’s focus on what is actually in their control, even as we grumble about that overpriced fairground ticket.
Christopher Cermak is Monocle’s Washington correspondent. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.