What Isis wants
In an interview with Monocle last week the German academic Peter Neumann warned that Isis would try to “inspire” a refugee to carry out an attack in Germany. Why? Because, said Neumann, Isis “know how much that would polarise German society… They want to help extreme right-wing forces to come to power.” At the time of writing the details of who was responsible for the Berlin attack remain unclear but that hasn’t stopped German politicians responding in the way that Isis hoped. The Bavarian CSU – the sister party of Angela Merkel’s CDU – has called for a change in migration policy, while the far-right Alternative für Deutschland has personally blamed Merkel for the attack. The test for western societies in 2017 is very simple: will we give Isis what it wants?
For more on how the threat from Isis will evolve in 2017, pick up a copy of Monocle’s February issue, on newsstands from 19 January.