Election
Iran’s bellwether
The campaign has been long and bitter but Iran finally heads to the polls today for a presidential election billed as a bellwether for the country’s future. Regardless of whether the hardliners’ favourite Seyed Ebrahim Raisi wins or the incumbent Hassan Rouhani, there’s a bigger power struggle many will ponder. Rouhani’s nuclear deal with the West hasn’t quite unfolded the way some imagined: there hasn’t been a mass lifting of sanctions or an uptick in economy. The reason, analysts say, is that the issues keeping Iran isolated – ballistic missiles and state-sponsored terrorism, for instance – are not in the hands of the democratically elected president but in those of a fanatical paramilitary corps that has grown around the regime. Whoever is elected today must make tackling this crony system their priority – corruption hampers the economy as much as sanctions – even if it lands them in the corps’ bad books.