Opinion / Tomos Lewis
Bold ambition
Many US political pundits were in uproar late on Monday night – not only as a result of the chaos wrought by glitchy software that thwarted the Iowa caucus but also because one of the candidates had the audacity to effectively declare victory before any results had been released. “Iowa, you have shocked the nation,” said Pete Buttigieg (pictured) to his jubilant supporters at a university sports hall in Des Moines.
Buttigieg’s speech was a gamble but not a blind one. For the former mayor of the small midwestern city of South Bend it was a calculation based on his campaign’s internal data, which suggested that he had won. And the results that have continued to trickle in from Iowa in the days since suggest that Mayor Pete – the first openly gay candidate from a major party to run for president – has indeed come out on top. Though he only beat Bernie Sanders, the progressive senator from Vermont, by a narrow margin, he was clearly ahead of an opponent who occupies the centre-ground, Joe Biden (who appears to have come fourth).
It is a significant moment in the campaign, both for a politician who was largely unknown a year ago and also for a gay man whose credibility and viability as a presidential candidate are growing. “I’m not surprised at all,” one voter told me amid the hubbub of rival a caucus-night party for Elizabeth Warren, who came third. “People are tired. They know Biden too well. Pete represents something else.”
Buttigieg’s Iowa performance hardly guarantees him the nomination but it could signal a shift among Democratic voters. If Biden fails to impress in next week’s New Hampshire primary, voters sceptical of the hard left (embodied by Sanders and Warren) might start seeking a centrist alternative. That figure could be Buttigieg or, if Mayor Pete begins to stumble, Mike Bloomberg – the former mayor of New York has staked his claim on next month’s Super Tuesday primaries.