Opinion / Ryan Williams
Know your right
Four years after a shocking 2016 election that saw Republicans take back the White House while holding majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate, the Grand Old Party (GOP) is in disarray ahead of Joe Biden’s inauguration on Wednesday. Having just lost the presidency and both houses of Congress, party leaders are now fed up with President Trump and eager to distance themselves from his toxic brand. But despite intense blowback from both the conservative establishment and corporate donors, Donald Trump remains the most influential person in the Republican Party. A recent Ipsos/Axios poll conducted after a pro-Trump mob stormed the US Capitol shows that a majority of Republicans think the president was justified in his baseless challenge of Biden’s clear electoral victory. Meanwhile, 36 per cent still proudly label themselves as “Trump Republicans”.
Republicans in Congress know that any effort to hold the president accountable might result in political, and potentially physical, threats from Trump Republicans. What’s more, despite the fact that Biden is a moderate by Democratic standards, and has a history of working across the aisle, many Republican voters believe Trump’s claim that the president-elect is a Trojan horse for socialism. GOP lawmakers will therefore be under pressure from their base to obstruct Biden’s agenda at all costs.
Thankfully, a bipartisan group of senators in the evenly divided Senate stand to wield significant power in Biden’s Washington. Republican senators Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Mitt Romney of Utah, along with Democrats Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, have indicated a willingness to work with both sides to find common ground with the new administration. This should give Biden an opportunity to pass legislation on controversial issues such as climate change, tax policy and gun control, although the final products will be less ambitious than his campaign policy proposals.
In short, Republican leaders are in a bind. In Trump, they have had a tiger by the tail for the past four years who helped them confirm dozens of conservative judges and sign their political agenda into law. Now the tiger is on the loose and leaders are desperately trying to figure out how to prevent it from mauling their electoral prospects – and devouring the entire party.
Ryan Williams is executive vice-president of the political consulting group Targeted Victory and a longtime spokesman for 2012 presidential candidate Mitt Romney. He is also a regular Monocle 24 contributor.