Opinion / Lyndee Prickitt
Called out
Since the US left Afghanistan and the Taliban took over, India has peered through the windows of its big house with dread, as though watching the return of a rowdy neighbour. The question of how to respond has left India divided: at first it adopted a “wait and watch” policy, to the ire of India’s hawkish contingency, which felt that the Taliban’s undemocratic takeover should be called out and its promises of reform ignored. The wait-and-watchers, by contrast, were desperate to believe in the Taliban’s reboot and warned that India must be neighbourly – lest China, the other big house on the block, become Afghanistan’s new best friend instead.
Last week, Narendra Modi shifted his tone and took a stand, saying that Afghanistan’s regime change happened “without negotiation” and urging the international community not to rush into recognising it. He even called for a code of conduct to check cross-border terrorism, warning that radicalisation in Afghanistan could encourage “other terrorist groups” to grab power through violent means. Now all eyes in India are on Modi’s first meeting with Joe Biden at the White House on Friday. The two will then meet again as part of Quad talks between the US, India, Japan and Australia.
The issue of containing China is likely to dominate discussions as Beijing continues to build commercial and military interests around Asia. Modi will also be curious to know whether Biden plans to review US policy on Pakistan. But how the Quad countries decide to approach the Taliban will be crucial. India is feeling increasingly uneasy at the prospect of a tight alliance between Taliban-led Afghanistan, Pakistan and China. Modi’s recalibration is a bold stance that should be taken seriously by Biden and the international community: the consequences of normalising the Taliban are dangerous.
Lyndee Prickitt is Monocle’s New Delhi correspondent.