Opinion / Annabelle Chapman
Turning off the taps
Poles woke up yesterday to a frosty piece of news: the state-owned oil and gas company PGNIG announced that Russia’s Gazprom had halted all of its natural-gas deliveries. The cut-off is part of Moscow’s standoff with the EU over energy supplies. After Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February, the European Commission announced plans to reduce the bloc’s dependence on Russian energy. But in the case of gas, Russia has got there first, halting supplies to Poland and Bulgaria for failing to make payments in roubles rather than foreign currencies as Moscow had demanded.
Poland is a major consumer of Russian gas, importing more than 45 per cent of its supplies from the country. For now, PGNIG has told its customers not to worry, reassuring them that they will continue to receive gas as required. The company has been diversifying its sources of gas and has other options available, including liquefied natural gas delivered to the Polish port of Świnoujście on the Baltic Sea. Even before the cut-off, most Poles were already in favour of ditching Russian energy commodities. A poll conducted in March found that almost 60 per cent believed that the EU should ban imports of gas, oil and coal from Russia, even if it pushes up prices.
With European gas prices surging by as much as a fifth in response to the cut-off, some patriotic belt-tightening is almost certainly in store. Russia appears likely to find out that its attempt to blackmail Poland by withholding gas will backfire – and it might even set an example for the rest of the EU to follow.
Annabelle Chapman is Monocle’s Warsaw correspondent. For more on the effect of Russia’s gas suspension, tune in to today’s edition of ‘The Globalist’ on Monocle 24.