Opinion / Andrew Mueller
Plodding to power?
Voting is compulsory in Australia and tomorrow’s federal election will be one of those contests in which that’s just as well, or the country’s future direction might have been decided by whichever of the contenders for the premiership has the larger family. Incumbent prime minister Scott Morrison, leader of Australia’s Liberal – which is to say conservative – Party, is an earnest plodder. His opponent, Labor Party leader Anthony Albanese (pictured), has attracted infrequent comparisons with a ball of fire. When I visited Australia earlier this month, not once did anybody that I spoke to raise the subject of the election unprompted.
In many respects, that is not unusual. Australians are not, by inclination, a militantly politically engaged bunch – the politicians of the 1920s who decided to make the vote compulsory understood their people well. But it is also at least arguable that Australia’s political placidity is a product of the compulsory vote. Australian politicians cannot win by winding up a partisan minority base and must pitch their case more broadly.
Albanese’s pitch this election has essentially been that he is not Scott Morrison. Opinion polls suggest that many Australians find this persuasive after nearly four years of Morrison and nearly a decade of his party in power. Morrison has made assurances that he has listened and promises that he will change, a common tactic among incumbents who perceive the vultures circling, but he will not have forgotten that the polls pretty much wrote him off the last time too.
Both anecdote and data suggest that tomorrow Australians will choose resignedly between what they perceive to be a pair of uninspired and uninspiring duds. If Albanese does become Australia’s 31st prime minister, it will be because he still enjoys, in this regard, some benefit of the doubt.