Opinion / Christopher Cermak
Going the distance
While war rages in Ukraine, with both sides bringing all conventional weapons to bear, the delicate dance between the West and Russia over military supplies continues. On the one hand, Western nations have supplied more weapons to Ukraine than to any previous conflict zone – Germany for the first time in its postwar history. On the other, they continue to play a game of poker with Russia that has descended into increasingly bizarre definitions of what exactly constitutes “direct support”.
The latest example this week is Joe Biden’s pledge of a “medium-range” advanced rocket system, rather than the long-range variety, for Ukraine. The assumption is that US-made rockets with a range of about 70km are just about tolerable, while sending those with a 290km range would be seen as encouraging Ukraine to attack Russian soil.
Leaving aside the fact that Ukraine has no intention of attacking Russia, I struggle to understand the distinction when I take a cursory look at the map of Ukraine’s border: Kharkiv is less than 40km from the border and could theoretically be used as a launching pad for attacks on Russia. By contrast, 290km still doesn’t get you anywhere near Russia’s nearest major city of Volgograd (about 480km from the border).
Drawing such arbitrary distinctions seems to play into Moscow’s hands. Even the pledge of medium-range rockets prompted Russian state media to broadcast reports of a fresh round of exercises by the country’s strategic “nuclear deterrence” forces. I understand the fears of a direct confrontation between the US and Russia, something that Biden once again stressed that he was keen to avoid. But surely drawing clear, firm lines in the sand are more likely to avoid such confrontation than repeatedly and incrementally calling Putin’s bluff.