Opinion / James Chambers
Group theory
Minilateralism might be all the rage in international relations but how many of these small groupings of like-minded countries prove to be anything more than a clever acronym? South Africa, the host of next month’s Brics summit (that’s Brazil, Russia, India, China and SA), is in a bind about what to do if Vladimir Putin shows up. Meanwhile, Australia’s prime minister, Anthony Albanese, was left red-faced when Joe Biden pulled out of May’s Quad summit at the last minute because he needed to address the US debt-ceiling crisis.
The G7 is the gold standard of minilateralism for good reason. Dating back to the 1970s, it’s essentially a bunch of rich kids with very similar world-views coming together to decide what’s what. These seven nations can meet and issue a statement at the drop of a hat, as they demonstrated last year on the fringes of the G20 summit in Bali after a stray rocket landed in Poland. This unity survived Donald Trump, while Russia was booted out of what was then the G8 after Putin decided to invade Crimea.
The importance of shared views and common values to the success of a minilateral organisation will be on display today at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). Though Beijing’s closest equivalent to the G7 is meant to bring together China, Russia, India, Pakistan and four central Asian countries, the eight leaders will take part via video. The physical distance between the SCO leaders on-screen will be in stark contrast to May’s heavily choreographed G7 summit in Hiroshima, where presidents and prime ministers huddled around a remarkably small table (pictured) that offered little elbow room, let alone space for disagreement.
The SCO arguably gave up on getting anything done when it admitted warring neighbours India and Pakistan in 2017. Granting full membership to Iran and allowing its arch-rival Saudi Arabia to become a “dialogue partner” is hardly likely to improve matters. For mini groupings, major differences can get in the way of reaching agreements.
James Chambers is Monocle’s Asia editor, based in Bangkok. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.