Opinion / James Chambers
Friends in high places
After the disappointment of July, when Thailand’s reformist party Move Forward, led by Pita Limjaroenrat, was denied the chance to form a new government, voters are now watching the political saga unfold in disbelief. Pheu Thai, the political party that was handed responsibility for building a coalition after coming second in May’s election, appears to be tiptoeing towards a power-sharing deal with the former generals and military-backed parties that kept it out of power after the 2019 election and had it forcefully removed in a coup d’état five years earlier. Before the ballot in May, Pheu Thai’s leader, Chonlanan Srikaew (pictured, on left, with Limjaroenrat), ruled out this unthinkable union.
But if campaign promises are broken, Thailand’s next government could become the latest example of a political phenomenon sweeping Southeast Asian democracies: the disappearing opposition. Indonesia is an expert in these grand, aisle-crossing coalitions. Second-term president Joko Widodo has assembled such a broad cabinet of political friends and foes that the government can effectively pass any legislation it wants. In neighbouring Malaysia, liberal prime minister Anwar Ibrahim shacked up with the same conservative party that put him in jail.
The ability to hold hands with sworn enemies must seem quite appealing to Western democracies bogged down by warring sides and deeply entrenched political divides. However, unchecked governments should ring just as many alarm bells as gridlocked ones. Grinning politicians will say that they are ditching their principles for the sake of national unity but power is the ultimate adhesive, especially in a region with an established tradition of party hopping.
Pheu Thai old-timers must sense that there’s a last chance to bag a plum cabinet post before the next election, when angry voters are likely to hand Move Forward, or whatever the progressive movement becomes, a bigger mandate. Until then, Thailand’s opposition could find itself under attack from a strong and united government. Indeed, it would come as little surprise to see Thailand’s party of hope and change get systematically picked apart and ultimately dissolved, again. Move Forward started life in opposition as Future Forward. Looking ahead to the next four years in Thai politics, however, “Inch Forward” would probably be an acceptable reincarnation.
James Chambers is Monocle’s Asia editor, based in Bangkok. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.