Opinion / James Chambers
Happy return
It has been a tale of two political exiles in Southeast Asia this week. On Tuesday, Thailand’s former prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra (pictured), who was ousted by a military coup in 2006 and later convicted of corruption, touched down in Bangkok after 15 years away. Earlier in the week, the Philippines marked the 40th anniversary of the assassination of Ninoy Aquino, a former senator and fierce rival of late dictator Ferdinand Marcos. Shinawatra and Aquino were both standard bearers of democracy during their time abroad but their homecomings were markedly different.
In 1983, Aquino was shot dead within minutes of landing at Manila’s international airport, having come home from the US to challenge Marcos. His death contributed to the end of the dictatorship era and the country’s main airport was subsequently named after him. Shinawatra, however, was quickly transferred from his private jet to a private hospital room, from where the de facto leader of the Pheu Thai party is likely to spend the next few months, pulling political strings and waiting for royal pardon. The cost of this VIP reception was a Faustian bargain negotiated in secret with the same military powers that Shinawatra has been battling for most of this century: a get-out-of-jail card in exchange for the generals continuing in government.
Shinawatra chose to return on the same day that Pheu Thai’s candidate for prime minister, Srettha Thavisin, was approved in parliament by a coalition dominated by conservative members of the outgoing government. The scale of this political volte-face has not been lost on Shinawatra’s supporters, known as red-shirts, who stayed behind to fight bloody battles with Thailand’s army in the early 2010s; a prominent leader of the movement resigned from Pheu Thai this week in disgust. Unlike Aquino, who stood by his principles and paid for it with his life, Shinawatra has sacrificed everything that he stood for politically and will pay for it with his legacy. When the military is finally removed from the country’s politics, it will have little to do with Shinawatra or Pheu Thai. That responsibility will be passed on to someone else.
James Chambers is Monocle’s Asia editor based in Bangkok. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.