Opinion / Tomos Lewis
Winner takes it all
The curtains have come down on convention season and the US presidential campaign is now officially underway. And in an election year without precedent, both parties have carved out what seemed elusive during the tumult of the past few months: a clear narrative. For Joe Biden’s Democrats, American democracy is on the ballot. For Donald Trump's Republicans, it's the idea of America itself.
The common ground between these opposing portraits of the nation is the sharp sense of calamity that will unfold if the other side wins. For Trump, there has been a realisation that slapping nicknames on “Sleepy” Joe Biden can only go so far; his convention speech last week marked a first attempt to put flesh on the bones of his caricature. That's likely how his strategy will unfold over the next few months: pushing as many buttons as he can in the hope that one will work, chipping away at Biden’s large (but slightly dipping) lead in national opinion polls.
All eyes now turn to the presidential debates, the first of which takes place on 29 September. The consequence of those will feel greater than usual: Biden will have nerves to quell among those who were troubled by his faltering debate performances at the beginning of the year (a departure from his commanding showing in the vice-presidential debates of 2008 and 2012). Trump has asserted that there is a “silent majority” of support for him. But that could be true for Biden too: a record number of Democrats registered to vote at the beginning of June, at the height of the demonstrations after the killing of George Floyd. It’s against the backdrop of the ongoing protests that the choice for voters has become clearest and that the stakes, as both campaigns will surely agree, couldn’t be higher.