Opinion / Tal Moskovich
High stakes
Israel is today holding its fourth parliamentary elections in two years. Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu is likely hoping that the focus will have shifted away from the government’s failure to handle the early stages of the pandemic and on to its world-beating vaccination campaign that began at the start of the year. In Tel Aviv, like elsewhere in the country, business is almost back to normal. Restaurants and gyms have reopened and this weekend marks the return of the city’s nightclubs, which have been abandoned since last March.
However, recent opinion polls suggest that Israelis will face more political gridlock after today, with the prospect of a fifth round of elections later this year. Voters remain deeply divided – not only between the dozens of left- and right-wing parties but also between pro- and anti-Netanyahu factions. Should Netanyahu succeed in forming a new coalition government with ultra-orthodox and ultra-right-wing parties, he might pass a law stopping his own trial on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust. Despite the allegations, supporters are determined not to accept any prime minister other than the incumbent.
Opponents fear that Israel’s democracy is under threat – yet they’ve been exhausted by recurring failures to build a viable counter-movement. Yesh Atid, a centrist party led by Yair Lapid, is the leading choice among anti-Netanyahu voters this time around but Lapid’s chances of becoming prime minister are so unclear that he refuses to say whether he even wants the job. Any anti-Netanyahu government would face the major challenge of bringing together various smaller parties whose only common interest is a desire to boot Netanyahu from office. Meanwhile, crucial policy topics, such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or the Iran nuclear deal, have rarely been debated throughout the campaign. Even if by some miracle today’s elections lead to a stable government, the Netanyahu divide will linger long after, preventing any progress on the most critical issues facing the country.
Tal Moskovich is a freelance journalist and documentary director based in Tel Aviv.