Opinion / Lucinda Elliott
Cuba in crisis
Driving an old Chevy under Havana’s neon lights with no mobile internet as a distraction has been the picture-postcard image sold to millions of potential visitors to the island of Cuba; a regional utopia that’s free from outside influence (especially the reach of the big bad USA). That vision has been abruptly replaced this month with one of officers wielding batons and state security storming ordinary Cuban homes.
The pictures have drawn outrage from across Latin America. From Buenos Aires to Bogotá, rallies in support of Cuban protesters took place last weekend in an unusual expression of solidarity. While the continent is known for its heavy-handed policing – most recently in Colombia where at least 44 people have been killed in anti-government demonstrations – this reputation had excluded Cuba (at least as seen by those living on the outside; most Cubans were well aware that they’ve been living in a communist police state). Now Havana feels more isolated from the region than ever.
On top of the protest footage are substantial reasons why Cubans took to the streets in the first place. For weeks they have suffered 12-hour power cuts, faced humiliating queues and endured shortages of even basic medicines and food, all while the country struggles to contain one of the world’s worst coronavirus outbreaks. A homegrown vaccine is being rolled out but the decision not to import any jabs from abroad earlier this year has set the island back even further. “Cuba’s PR problem has gone through the roof; the government made a massive mistake,” one businessman from São Paulo, who has worked in Cuba, tells me. “What happened Sunday means it’s no longer appealing to be involved with a country like that and I’m certain that other foreigners feel the same.”
What happens next? Optimists say that the reformers within Cuba’s high ranks will look to address the protesters’ grievances. A more probable scenario is that they are sidelined by the old guard and the regime will crack down harder on dissidents. Sadly, I expect Cuba might look to follow the lead of Venezuela and Nicaragua rather than some of its more enlightened Latin American neighbours.
Elliott is Monocle’s Latin America correspondent. Hear more of her take on Cuba on ‘The Briefing’ on Monocle 24.