Opinion / Christopher Cermak
Keep calm and carry on
It will be hard to identify with the mindset of the average Ukrainian if you haven’t lived near a conflict zone yourself. Writer and philosopher Volodymyr Yermolenko perhaps summed it up best by saying that Ukrainians have long accepted a “dual reality”: they shrug and go about their daily lives but always with an awareness that normality could be taken away at any moment. It’s why so many here, including president Volodymyr Zelensky (pictured) – who on Friday criticised the foreign media and leaders for exaggerating the threat from Russia – have conflicting feelings about the sudden rush of global attention. A few examples from on the ground in Kyiv:
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Residents of Ukraine’s capital welcome the international community’s support but they’re equally eager to point out that they’ve lived with the threat of a Russian invasion (and indeed have actually been invaded in the east) for the past eight years. So why the support only now?
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Military-minded volunteers who train every Saturday for Kyiv’s territorial defence force want to send a message to Russia that they’re ready to fight (some 30 per cent of Ukrainians say that they’ll take up arms in the event of an invasion). But many seemed angry at the sudden glaring media eyes distracting them from their training.
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Expats and businesspeople living here are eager to stay. They continue to launch new projects in the city and have developed an affinity with Ukraine and its people. But they worry that the current tensions are scaring away foreign investment and preventing new expats from coming here and falling in love with Kyiv as they have.
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Ukrainian officials acknowledge that there is the possibility of a full-scale invasion but say that the bigger threat is the “hybrid war”. Vladimir Putin is attempting to destabilise Ukraine by any means necessary: cyber attacks, downing infrastructure, misinformation that divides the nation. Putin’s goal, in their minds, is to break Ukraine’s resolve without ever actually having to invade.
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The eastern front is quiet. If anything, it’s “too quiet”, according to veteran war photographer Anatolii Stepanov, who has visited the front regularly over the past eight years. He fears that any invasion will only start once the West’s prying eyes disappear from the region; when we lose interest and shift our focus back to other global conflicts instead.
So how can the West best support Ukraine now? Security guarantees and military aid helps, of course, but this is a resilient and confident nation. What it really needs is for everyone else to get into the same dual-reality mindset that its people have been living with for eight years: don’t decide against visiting; don’t postpone a business venture; don't turn your back on its people. Acknowledging the threat yet carrying on as normal is the best way to help Ukraine resist and send a message of resolve to Vladimir Putin. Thereby, possibly, preventing a war.
Hear more from Christopher Cermak and Monocle 24's Paige Reynolds on the ground in Kyiv throughout the week on Monocle 24.