Breaking news / France
Reverting to type?
In the end there was no grand surprise in the French presidential election’s first round: incumbent Emmanuel Macron and the far-right’s Marine Le Pen emerged from a crowded field of 12 candidates and will now face each other in a second-round run-off on 24 April. Though opinion polls had suggested that the race could be extremely tight, Sunday-night projections based on a representative sample showed Macron comfortably ahead with about 28 per cent, compared to Le Pen’s 23 per cent. The question now is whether the run-off will revert to what has become a convention of recent French elections: a revulsion at the far-right, despite Le Pen’s assurances that she is a different kind of politician, leading to voters coalescing around the other candidate. Polls suggest that the gap could be far narrower than the last time these two faced each other five years ago.
Macron hasn’t had an easy ride since his 2017 victory. His reforms haven’t been popular, he has had to deal with the gilets jaunes movement and there has been a widespread feeling that he has been detached – even absent – on the campaign trail. In part, this is because he has always seen himself as an international statesman, most recently trying to mediate with Vladimir Putin over Ukraine. Yet whatever his shortcomings, at a time of increasing polarisation he remains an unashamed centrist, a Europeanist and a believer in multilateralism. Despite his faults, both France and the world need that right now.
For up-to-date analysis of the election results and what it all means, tune in to today’s edition of ‘The Globalist’ on Monocle 24.