Opinion / Anastasia Moloney
Opposites attract
It was an outcome that pollsters didn’t expect: leftist Gustavo Petro will face populist businessman Rodolfo Hernández (pictured) in the second round of the Colombian presidential election on 19 June. On Sunday, Colombians voted for a break from decades of rule by the traditional centrist political elite and lurched to the extremes. Both Petro, a former member of the now-defunct M-19 guerrilla group, and 77-year-old conservative Hernández, an engineer and construction magnate, are seen as anti-establishment figures who represent change. The difference is that Hernández, who has successfully cast himself as a political outsider, inspires less fear among the majority of voters than former militant Petro.
This means that despite gaining more than 40 per cent of the first-round vote (nearly 2.5 million more votes than Hernández), Petro isn’t assured victory in the next – and final – round of voting. His rival has the support of right-wing candidate Federico Gutiérrez, who had been tipped to come second but fell short, securing five million votes. The bulk of those will probably go to Hernández in the run-off. It will be a close-fought race. If Petro wins, he would be the first leftist president ever elected in Colombia. His promises include pension reform, free public university, raising taxes on the rich and halting oil exploration.
Straight-talking Hernández, who is at times crass and gaffe-prone, has campaigned on an anti-corruption ticket and brands rival politicians as “thieves”. He has opted to reach voters, especially young Colombians, with comical messages on social media, rather than participate in televised debates. It’s proving to be a winning strategy. With so much up in the air, one thing is certain: whoever becomes the new president of Colombia, it will represent a significant change from the past.
Anastasia Moloney is Monocle’s Bogotá correspondent. Read more about Gustavo Petro and the Colombian election in the June issue of Monocle, which is out now.