Opinion / Andrew Mueller
Time and again
The unofficial theme of the 2023 Munich Security Conference, which wrapped up yesterday was: Ukraine, one year on. Russia’s full-scale invasion of its neighbour commenced four days after the 2022 conference concluded and many of the delegates at this year’s event – including US vice-president Kamala Harris, France’s Emmanuel Macron, Germany’s Olaf Scholz and UK prime minister Rishi Sunak – had spent much of the past 12 months preoccupied with its ramifications.
The 2023 event was opened on Friday – inevitably, and correctly – by Volodymyr Zelensky. Ukraine’s president appeared in person last year – clean-shaven, wearing a suit and tie. Back then he warned, “The architecture of world security is fragile and needs to be updated.” Five days later, Vladimir Putin proved him tragically right. This year, speaking from Kyiv clad in his now-customary khaki, Zelensky set the tone by declaring, “There is no alternative but to defeat Goliath; I am grateful to everyone who gives Ukraine a sling.”
The conference agenda wasn’t exclusively concerned with Ukraine but the wider topics discussed did make it bracingly clear how many other issues have been forced into focus by Russia’s rampage in Ukraine. There were discussions on energy security, food security, global trade, hybrid warfare, ungoverned migration, disinformation threats and democratic resilience. This demonstrates the degree to which, as Zelensky also reminded us, Russia’s war is not merely against Ukraine but against every principle for which the West has long flattered itself that it stands.
Other discussions served as rueful warnings against Western hubris: an interview with Mohammed Shia’ Sabbar al-Sudani, the 19th Iraqi to have a go at being prime minister since the US tried to found a stable democracy in his country 20 years ago, and a panel perhaps optimistically subtitled “Prospects for Afghanistan”. Yesterday’s crises remain, very much, today’s crises. Western leaders must learn from the past.
Andrew Mueller is Monocle’s contributing editor and host of ‘The Foreign Desk’ on Monocle 24. For more opinion, analysis and insight, subscribe to Monocle today.