Opinion / Lucinda Elliott
Frozen debts
Argentina’s president Alberto Fernández (pictured) is one of only a handful of world leaders who will attend the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics in Beijing on Friday. This is not because snowboarding and bobsledding are among the most popular sports in the football-mad South American nation. Rather, it has a lot to do with the fact that Argentina is currently skating on thin ice, economically speaking.
On Friday, Fernández’s government averted a looming crisis over the billions of dollars that it owes to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). After over a year of inconclusive talks trying to restructure the $44.5bn (€39.7) debt, Argentina announced an agreement in principle that must now be signed off by the fund’s board of directors and then ratified by congress in Buenos Aires. It is the latest of 21 different IMF deals that Argentina has signed since it joined in 1956. Hurdles remain and a full agreement with the Washington-based lender – of which the US is the biggest shareholder – is still a way off.
All of which is why the timing of Fernández’s visit to China, with a stop-off in Moscow en route, is causing apoplexy. Standing with Xi and Putin is a surefire way to rattle creditors while negotiations over this rough deal are ongoing. But observers say that the administration might be there to seek reserve financing should the penned agreement stall. Argentina has until the end of March to pay a sizable $2.8bn (€2.5bn) and, unless a deal with the IMF is finalised, it will cause serious repercussions for the ruling left-wing Peronist party, with the economic crisis likely to deepen ahead of the presidential election next year. Perhaps Fernández should stay and watch the figure skating: he’ll need some tactical tangoing to get out of the present situation.
Lucinda Elliott is Monocle’s Latin America affairs correspondent.